Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Counter-offensive will succeed in making territorial gains for Ukraine, triggering economic response by Moscow against Ukraine’s allies 5 May 2023 Geopolitics Stability
Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Decreasing water levels at Kakhovka reservoir will force Russia to act before they reach critical point for nuclear safety 16 February 2023
Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – New Russian offensive will be launched within coming four weeks 13 February 2023
Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – In spite of upcoming injection of new troops, Russia will struggle to make significant military gains in next 2-3 months 11 January 2023
19 December 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – US likely to approve deployment of Patriot batteries in coming weeks Geopolitics Stability
07 December 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Reconstruction projects will create commercial opportunities in key sectors over 2023-2024 Economy Geopolitics
22 November 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Fighting will slow but unlikely to halt entirely over winter Geopolitics
16 November 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Risk of escalation will be limited following likely unintended missile fire into Poland Geopolitics Stability
09 November 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Prospects for peace talks will remain low, likely until at least mid-2023 Geopolitics
09 November 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Shareholders associated with controversial businesspeople will face risk of asset seizures Business
25 October 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Likelihood of Russia using non-conventional weapon will remain low for now Cyber Geopolitics Stability
25 October 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Russia will maintain high tempo of cruise and drone strikes over coming weeks Business Geopolitics Stability
11 October 2022 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Impact of Kerch bridge explosion on Russian supply lines will be mostly limited Geopolitics
