Thailand – Mass resignations will stymie legislative agenda in coming months 21 December 2022 Stability
Southeast Asia – Resumption of trade talks unlikely between EU and Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) 19 December 2022
Thailand – Pace and scale of separatist militant attacks will increase in coming year 15 December 2022
Thailand – Frequency of small anti-government protests will increase ahead of elections due in May 2023 23 November 2022
Region: Southeast Asia Southeast Asia – Diplomatic relations upgrade with US will not produce major rise in investment in region Economy Geopolitics
Region: Southeast Asia Southeast Asia – Regional bloc will remain sceptical of US commitment without firm proposals to deepen ties Geopolitics
Region: Southeast Asia Thailand – King’s growing influence signals likely decline of Eastern Tigers faction’s control of government Business Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Prime minister unlikely to lead country into next election despite favourable court ruling Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Government will only raise rice export prices with Vietnamese backing Geopolitics Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Prime minister’s leadership appears increasingly vulnerable, prompting increased manoeuvring by rivals Economy Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Prime minister’s suspension by court unlikely to threaten continued military rule Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Opposition’s upcoming legal challenge will not unseat prime minister Economy Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Prime minister survives confidence motion but unlikely to lead beyond 2023 Stability
