Botswana – Arrest warrant for former president will deepen political divisions in coming months 6 January 2023 Stability
South Africa Deep Dive – President Ramaphosa’s re-election as ruling party leader will bolster renewal agenda in coming months 5 January 2023
Mozambique – ‘Hidden debts’ scandal verdict will deepen divisions within ruling Frelimo party in coming year 16 December 2022
South Africa – President Ramaphosa likely to be re-elected as ruling party leader despite ongoing investigations 9 December 2022
Region: Southern Africa Namibia – Vice president’s re-election will fail to unify ruling party ahead of 2024 polls Business Stability
Region: Southern Africa Zimbabwe – Low water levels at Kariba dam will cause extensive power outages in coming months Business Stability
Region: Southern Africa South Africa – President Ramaphosa unlikely to resign despite findings of probe into theft from farm Stability
Region: Southern Africa Malawi – Vice president’s arrest on corruption charges will partially boost confidence in government’s anti-graft drive Business Reputation Stability
Region: Southern Africa Botswana – Telecommunications infrastructure will increasingly be targeted by criminal activity in coming years Business
Region: Southern Africa Mozambique – Failure to resolve dispute over wage reforms increases likelihood of public sector strikes in coming weeks Business Stability Terrorism
Region: Southern Africa Eswatini – Government will intensify crackdown on dissent in coming weeks despite regional calls for national dialogue Stability
Region: Southern Africa South Africa – Stakeholder resistance and insufficient funding will undermine energy transition in coming years Business
Region: Southern Africa Lesotho – New cabinet appointments indicate Prime Minister Matekane will prioritise economic recovery and fiscal discipline Economy Stability