South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Military will launch large counterterrorism operation in coming months 3 January 2023 Extremism Stability
South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Clashes along border with Afghanistan will increase in coming months 20 December 2022
South AsiaIndia India – Bharatiya Janata Party’s decisive win in Gujarat polls signals likely victory in 2024 general election 20 December 2022
South AsiaBangladesh Bangladesh – Opposition protests will not threaten government continuity over coming weeks 14 December 2022
14 December 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Islamic State (IS) will increasingly target non-citizens, weakening government control Extremism Geopolitics Stability
13 December 2022 East AsiaChinaSouth AsiaIndia India – High risk of clashes with Chinese troops will persist in coming months, but major conflict remains unlikely Geopolitics Stability
08 December 2022 South AsiaNepal Nepal – Nepali Congress will form coalition government in coming days Geopolitics Stability
06 December 2022 South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Political instability will persist in coming weeks despite opposition abandoning march to capital Business Economy Stability
06 December 2022 South AsiaIndia India – Manufacturing and technology opportunities will increase in coming years as New Delhi leads several international forums Economy Geopolitics
01 December 2022 South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan will conduct more attacks in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Baluchistan having annulled ceasefire Terrorism
01 December 2022 South AsiaIndia India – Passage of data protection legislation by mid-2023 will reduce compliance burden on firms Business
24 November 2022 South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Security situation will remain unchanged in coming weeks despite resumption of opposition’s ‘long march’ Extremism Stability
22 November 2022 South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Government likely to appoint Lieutenant General Asim Munir as next army chief Stability
22 November 2022 South AsiaIndia India – Security in Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu states likely to be heightened in coming days following Mangalore explosion Extremism Stability Terrorism
17 November 2022 South AsiaBangladesh Bangladesh – Demonstrations over economic issues will increase in coming months Business Economy Stability
17 November 2022 South AsiaMaldives Maldives – Threat of terrorist attacks will increase in lead-up to 2023 presidential election Extremism Stability Terrorism