Pakistan Battle for Swat a test of resolve for both sides; kidnap of police, troops highlights deficiencies; al-Qaeda claim lacks impact 29 September 2009
Pakistan Bombs in Punjab, Karachi highlight growing risk of Taliban-linked terrorism outside Tribal Areas; credibility of arrests questioned 29 September 2009
India Pakistani deflections, death threat against diplomat mean relations with Islamabad remain stalled; however, escalation remains unlikely 29 September 2009
India Scandal erupts over alleged partisan ties of next Election Commissioner; Prime Minister’s surgery prompts leadership rumours 29 September 2009
29 September 2009 India Maoist ambush kills fifteen police in Maharashtra; offer of peace talks in Chhattisgarh likely a stalling technique
29 September 2009 India Two militants killed near New Delhi amidst speculation of fabricated Pakistani ties; man arrested in threatened hijacking
25 September 2009 Bangladesh Opposition alleges vote-rigging in December elections; reflects party’s weakness rather than credible challenge to Government
25 September 2009 Bangladesh Limited unrest offset by high crime; vigilantism and extra-judicial killings symptoms of Government inability to address insecurity
25 September 2009 Bangladesh Attack on local Awami League office highlights insecurity in south-west; Islamist arrests in North not yet indicative of resurgent threat
25 September 2009 Sri Lanka Gradual political reshuffle replaces diplomats with military leaders, aimed at reducing opposition and criticism of defence cuts
25 September 2009 Sri Lanka Arrests in Vavuniya highlight attack threat from escaping Tamil detainees; Tamil leadership lacking but funding network intact
25 September 2009 Afghanistan Western project at critical juncture; strategic drift in Washington as US administration divided but additional troops still likely
25 September 2009 Afghanistan Leaked assessment calls for new resources and counterinsurgency strategy; likely to result in greater casualties, political pressure
25 September 2009 Afghanistan Election remains in the balance; run-off or unity Government most likely outcomes; political violence remains possible