North Africa

INCLUDES: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Sudan, Burkina Faso, Chad, South Sudan, Republic of Cabo Verde

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North Africa

Highlighted Reports In The Last 30 Days

Burkina Faso – Withdrawal of French troops will not significantly worsen security environment in coming months

Burkina Faso – Further mass kidnapping attacks likely in northeast over coming months

Tunisia – Upcoming second-round elections will garner very low turnout akin to first round in December

Egypt – Flexible currency will attract foreign capital but pose challenges in near term

Latest Reports

Chad – Coup allegations will facilitate intensified security crackdown in coming months

13 January 2023

Stability

Libya – Security issues will continue to hamper efforts to boost investment in oil and gas sector

23 December 2022
Sudan – Instalment of civilian-led transitional government unlikely in coming months, despite new agreement

23 December 2022
Burkina Faso – Wagner Group’s deployment likely in coming months, even if recent allegations are unfounded

23 December 2022

Region: North Africa

Egypt – Despite IMF approving another loan, overall economic conditions will worsen in 2023

Region: North Africa

Niger – Relations with Western countries will remain strong in coming years amid significant foreign investment inflows

Region: North Africa

Tunisia – Protests will intensify around 17 December parliamentary elections

Stability

Region: North Africa

Morocco – Relations with Israel will continue to grow despite public opposition

Geopolitics

Region: North Africa

Burkina Faso – Relations with France will continue to decline in coming months following forced closure of French broadcaster

Region: North Africa

Algeria – 2023 budget will maintain spending on social assistance programmes, limiting risks of domestic instability

Region: North Africa

Egypt – Reputational risks for energy businesses will remain limited despite human rights violations

Region: North Africa

Mali – Withdrawal of British and Ivorian troops will pose significant challenges for UN mission over coming months

Region: North Africa

Libya – Efforts to unify parallel governments highly unlikely to succeed this year

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