Israel War crimes report derails Palestinian unity deal; poor prospects for resumed Israel-Palestine peace talks; confidence in Obama waning 16 October 2009
Saudi Arabia Yemeni Shia rebel claim to have downed military jets is plausible; fighting continues in North; South increasingly volatile 16 October 2009
Saudi Arabia Saudi-Syrian rapprochement powerful symbol, but obstacles remain and regional power calculation unlikely to change in near term 16 October 2009
16 October 2009 Saudi Arabia Gunfight with militants and recent arrests suggest revitalised al-Qaeda threat, although robust security will help contain militants
16 October 2009 Qatar Egyptian allegations of UN manoeuvring and Palestinian accusations of al-Jazeera bias unfounded, but reflect regional suspicions
16 October 2009 Bahrain Opposition continues to pressure Government over ties to Israel; Manama appeases Tehran but remains staunch US ally
16 October 2009 Bahrain Authorities remain nervous of further Shia disorder despite acquittal of prisoners; inequalities driving increasing extremism
14 October 2009 Iraq Kurdish parties may split over whether to join new Prime Minister’s Government; tensions will not worsen security
14 October 2009 Iraq Any funding cuts will affect Anbar most; triple car bombing in Ramadi highlights expanding AQI intelligence network
14 October 2009 Iraq Al-Maliki proposes cutting security budget on campaign trail, which could undermine security force capability