Middle EastTurkey Turkey – Election update: Withdrawal of presidential candidate Muharrem Ince raises prospect of outright win for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu 12 May 2023 Geopolitics Stability
Middle EastIsrael Israel – Palestine: Israeli airstrikes on Gaza will trigger retaliatory rocket fire targeting Tel Aviv 10 May 2023
Middle EastTurkey Turkey – Pre-election report: President Erdogan will clinch narrow victory in run-off election 5 May 2023
Middle EastIsrael Israel – Crippling mass protests and strikes will resume if judicial reform consensus is not reached this week 26 April 2023
21 April 2023 Middle EastBahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE Persian Gulf – Pressure from Saudi Arabia overrides internal disputes and will ensure Gulf Cooperation Council stability in coming years Geopolitics Stability
12 April 2023 Middle EastIsrael Israel – Palestine – Cycle of violence will continue between Palestinians and Israelis despite efforts to de-escalate Stability Terrorism
06 April 2023 Middle EastSaudi Arabia, Syria Saudi Arabia – Syria – Normalisation of ties and reopening of embassies with Riyadh will not attract foreign investment to Damascus Economy Extremism Geopolitics
04 April 2023 Middle EastIran, Israel Iran – Israel – Iran will conduct further physical and cyberattacks targeting Israeli citizens and businesses in next 12 months Geopolitics Stability
29 March 2023 Middle EastYemen Yemen – Saudi-Iran rapprochement will not guarantee short-term progress in Yemen peace negotiations Geopolitics Stability
29 March 2023 Middle EastIsrael Israel – Delaying judicial reform bill will not solve political crisis Stability
24 March 2023 Middle EastTurkeyNorth AfricaEgypt Egypt – Turkey – Turkish foreign minister’s visit to Cairo unlikely to herald near-term renewal of diplomatic ties Economy Geopolitics
17 March 2023 Middle EastIsrael Israel – President’s rare intervention and labelling of reforms as oppressive will drive more unruly protests Stability
15 March 2023 Middle EastIran, Saudi Arabia Iran – Saudi Arabia – Normalisation between Tehran and Riyadh will reduce hostilities and contribute to regional security Geopolitics Stability