Azerbaijan – Pro-Russian sentiment of Nagorno-Karabakh leader risks elevating regional tensions 18 January 2023 Geopolitics
Turkmenistan – Ashgabat’s increasing infrastructure needs will necessitate closer ties with China 12 January 2023
Ukraine – In spite of upcoming injection of new troops, Russia will struggle to make significant military gains in next 2-3 months 11 January 2023
Azerbaijan – Baku’s assertive approach to Nagorno-Karabakh will fail to disrupt EU energy engagement 10 January 2023
Region: Former Soviet Union Kazakhstan – Russia’s role as key energy partner will pose ongoing sanctions risk Geopolitics Sanctions
Region: Former Soviet Union Ukraine – US likely to approve deployment of Patriot batteries in coming weeks Geopolitics Stability
Region: Former Soviet Union Russia – Kremlin will manage president’s public engagement to limit exposure to anti-war sentiment Stability
Region: Former Soviet Union Azerbaijan – Withdrawal of EU civilian mission will increase risk of clashes in early 2023 Geopolitics
Region: Former Soviet Union Ukraine – Reconstruction projects will create commercial opportunities in key sectors over 2023-2024 Economy Geopolitics
Region: Former Soviet Union Kazakhstan – Astana will target securing greater investment in green energy and rare earths sectors Business Geopolitics
Region: Former Soviet Union Russia – Moscow will accelerate use of ‘ghost fleet’ to sell oil when price cap takes effect Business Economy
Region: Eastern Europe FSU Deep Dive – Lithuania’s cooperation with Taiwan will present significant opportunities for tech sector Business Geopolitics
Region: Former Soviet Union Ukraine – Fighting will slow but unlikely to halt entirely over winter Geopolitics