China – New real estate policies will reduce threat of mortgage strikes and protests in coming year 17 January 2023 Economy Stability
China – Visa retaliation policies reflect broad continuity in assertive foreign policy 11 January 2023
Japan – Revision of three key defence documents will accelerate militarisation of region 10 January 2023
Philippines – President will improve relations with China, likely securing greater investment 5 January 2023
Region: East Asia China – Government will continue easing public health restrictions in coming months Economy Public Health
Region: East Asia Japan – Government will proceed with plans to boost defence spending despite domestic opposition Business Economy Geopolitics Stability
Region: East Asia India – High risk of clashes with Chinese troops will persist in coming months, but major conflict remains unlikely Geopolitics Stability
Region: East Asia China – Summit with Saudi Arabia will expand diplomatic influence in non-Western countries Business Economy Geopolitics Public Health
Region: East Asia South Korea – Political instability will persist in coming year regardless of outcome of labour strikes Business Economy Stability
Region: East Asia China – Death of former leader Jiang Zemin unlikely to trigger wider political instability and further protests Economy Public Health Stability
Region: East Asia Taiwan – Ruling party will remain frontrunner in next presidential election despite poor performance in local elections Stability
Region: East Asia China – President Xi Jinping will retain strong political control despite unusually large anti-lockdown protests Public Health Stability
Region: East Asia South Korea – ‘Start-work’ order will ease acute supply chain problems, but high fuel and living costs will prompt further strikes in coming year Business
