Philippines – President will improve relations with China, likely securing greater investment 5 January 2023 Economy Geopolitics
India – High risk of clashes with Chinese troops will persist in coming months, but major conflict remains unlikely 13 December 2022
China – Summit with Saudi Arabia will expand diplomatic influence in non-Western countries 13 December 2022
Region: East Asia China – Death of former leader Jiang Zemin unlikely to trigger wider political instability and further protests Economy Public Health Stability
Region: East Asia China – President Xi Jinping will retain strong political control despite unusually large anti-lockdown protests Public Health Stability
Region: East Asia China – Deep Dive – President Xi Jinping’s foreign policy will see Beijing play greater role in non-Western forums in coming years Economy Geopolitics Special Reports Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Australia – Resumption of dialogue with China will not yield major trade outcomes over next six months Economy Geopolitics
Region: East Asia China – Relations with US will not improve significantly despite G20 meeting Business Economy Geopolitics
Region: East Asia China – Imminent end to ‘zero COVID’ policy unlikely despite relaxation of quarantine requirements Business Economy Public Health Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Southeast Asia – Regional bloc will remain sceptical of US commitment without firm proposals to deepen ties Geopolitics
Region: East Asia China – Government will retain COVID-19 restrictions until at least March 2023 plenary meetings Economy Public Health
Region: East Asia China – Deep Dive: Party congress affirming President Xi’s dominance will ensure internal opposition to domestic agenda remains minimal Business Economy Geopolitics Reputation Special Reports Stability
