Burkina Faso – Wagner Group’s deployment likely in coming months, even if recent allegations are unfounded 23 December 2022 Geopolitics Reputation Stability
Burkina Faso – Relations with France will continue to decline in coming months following forced closure of French broadcaster 8 December 2022
Burkina Faso – Appointment of new government unlikely to significantly strengthen counter-jihadist operations over coming months 3 November 2022
Burkina Faso – Coup, driven by anger over rising jihadist threat, unlikely to significantly improve security over coming months 6 October 2022
Region: West Africa Burkina Faso – New military cooperation agreement unlikely to significantly improve security in short term Extremism Stability
Region: North Africa Support for ruling junta will continue to decline amid continued expansion of jihadist violence in next year Economy Extremism Stability
Region: North Africa Jihadist violence will escalate further in border regions as rivalry between al-Qaeda and Islamic State continues across Sahel Terrorism
Region: North Africa Attack on mining convoy highlights ongoing security risk to Western companies but militants will avoid direct attack on mining facilities Extremism
Region: North Africa Increasing communal tensions in North will provide opportunity for major jihadist groups to expand influence in Sahel Extremism
Region: North Africa Rapidly escalating jihadist violence in Burkina Faso shows militants will seek to expand presence beyond northern Mali stronghold Extremism
Region: North Africa Attack on convoy escorting gold mine workers in Burkina Faso shows that jihadist militancy will pose growing threat to foreign staff in Sahel Extremism
Region: North Africa Burkina Faso attack reflects persistent jihadist threat across West Africa, though strikes in major cities unlikely in coming months Extremism
