South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Islamic State attacks in Kabul will resume shortly despite counterterrorism pressure 28 February 2023 Extremism Stability
South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Discord between Taliban leaders and Haqqani Network will lead to sporadic violence in near term 21 February 2023
South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Major Islamic State Khorasan Province attack likely in Kabul in near term 7 February 2023
South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Anti-Taliban groups will use low-complexity operations over coming months 3 February 2023
12 January 2023 South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Islamic State attacks will discourage comprehensive Chinese investment Economy Extremism Geopolitics
14 December 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan Afghanistan – Islamic State (IS) will increasingly target non-citizens, weakening government control Extremism Geopolitics Stability
20 October 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan, India, Pakistan South Asia – Regional powers will expand cooperation with US amid latter’s Indo-Pacific pivot Business Economy Extremism Special Reports Stability
06 October 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan Tempo of Islamic State (IS) attacks in urban centres will remain elevated over coming months Stability
08 September 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan Islamic State attack on Russian embassy signals further attempt to delegitimise Taliban’s ability to secure Kabul Economy Extremism Stability
31 August 2022 East AsiaChinaSouth AsiaAfghanistan, India, Pakistan APAC – Deep Dive – Neighbouring states will deepen ties with Taliban but substantial investment unlikely in coming year Economy Extremism Geopolitics Special Reports Stability
25 August 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan Islamic State (IS) attacks in urban areas will be sustained in coming months by personnel gains, operational reorientation Extremism Geopolitics Stability
02 August 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan Al-Qaeda leader’s death unlikely to reduce group’s already limited operational capacity Extremism Stability
28 July 2022 South AsiaAfghanistan, India India will proceed cautiously with renewed diplomatic presence in Afghanistan Extremism Geopolitics Stability