Region: North Africa Burkina Faso – Withdrawal of French troops will not significantly worsen security environment in coming months Stability Terrorism
Region: West Africa Senegal – Opposition leader trial will trigger anti-government protests over coming months Stability
Region: South America Brazil – Far-right infrastructure attacks will continue in coming weeks Extremism
Region: North Africa Burkina Faso – Further mass kidnapping attacks likely in northeast over coming months Stability Terrorism
Region: Middle East FULL REPORT: Syria and Turkey – Rapprochement between Ankara and Damascus will likely lead to joint operations against Kurds in northern Syria Geopolitics Stability
Region: North Africa Chad – Coup allegations will facilitate intensified security crackdown in coming months Stability
Region: South America Venezuela – End of Juan Guaidó’s interim presidency will facilitate new strategies to challenge President Maduro in 2024 elections Economy Geopolitics Stability
Region: South America Chile – Increasing perceptions of crime will push president towards the political centre, and challenge coalitions Business Stability
Region: South America Argentina – Attempt to impeach Supreme Court will test institutionality and likely enhance bids of presidential election outsiders Stability
