Region: South America Bolivia – Governor’s arrest will prolong demonstrations in Santa Cruz Economy Stability
Region: Western Europe Iran – Designation of IRGC as terrorist organisation by UK and EU will further complicate Western relations with Tehran Geopolitics Stability
Region: North Africa Chad – Coup allegations will facilitate intensified security crackdown in coming months Stability
Region: South America Venezuela – End of Juan Guaidó’s interim presidency will facilitate new strategies to challenge President Maduro in 2024 elections Economy Geopolitics Stability
Region: South America Chile – Increasing perceptions of crime will push president towards the political centre, and challenge coalitions Business Stability
Region: West Africa Nigeria – Elections likely to proceed as scheduled in most states despite security threats Stability
Region: East Africa Kenya – Nairobi unlikely to default on external debt in 2023 but austerity measures will increase threat of unrest Business Economy Stability
Region: South Asia Bangladesh – Protests led by Bangladesh Nationalist Party will continue over coming months Economy Stability
Region: South Asia Nepal – Ruling coalition will face major political challenge before end of term Geopolitics Stability
