Region: East Africa DRC – ADF will continue targeting civilians and military in Nord Kivu and Ituri provinces in coming months Terrorism
Region: Southeast Asia Australia – Coal exports to China will be limited over coming months despite resumption of trade Economy Geopolitics
Region: North Africa Burkina Faso – Further mass kidnapping attacks likely in northeast over coming months Stability Terrorism
Region: South America Peru – Thousands will demonstrate against president in Lima on 19 January Economy Stability
Region: East Africa DRC – M23 forces will only partially withdraw from occupied areas in Nord Kivu in coming weeks Stability
Region: North Africa Tunisia – Upcoming second-round elections will garner very low turnout akin to first round in December Stability
Region: Former Soviet Union Russia – Reshuffle of Russian military in Ukraine will bolster command structure and diminish role of PMCs Geopolitics Stability
Region: Middle East Syria and Turkey – Rapprochement between Ankara and Damascus will likely lead to joint operations against Kurds in northern Syria Geopolitics Stability