Region: Southeast Asia Indonesia – Separatist Papuan militants will increase attacks against government and extractives sector in coming year Business Extremism Stability
Region: Southeast Asia Thailand – Tempo of separatist attacks will increase in coming year Extremism Stability Terrorism
Region: South Asia Pakistan – Revival of Lashkar-e-Jhangvi militant group will increase threat of attacks against religious minorities Extremism Terrorism
Region: South America Brazil – Far-right infrastructure attacks will continue in coming weeks Extremism
Region: East Asia China – Government will maintain reopening policies despite rising COVID-19 death toll Economy Public Health Stability
Region: Southern Africa South Africa – Tariff hike and power cuts will lead to protests in coming weeks Business Stability
Region: Western Europe Spain – Key upcoming elections will increase nationwide demonstrations over coming months Business Stability
Region: North America Nicaragua – Cybersecurity cooperation agreement deepens ties with Russia and will increase threat of regional instability Cyber Geopolitics Stability
Region: North America Mexico – Semiconductor industry will expand as part of wider effort to reduce reliance and supply chain disruptions Business Geopolitics