07 June 2023 South AmericaArgentina Argentina – Trade deal with China will increase anti-incumbency sentiment ahead of general elections Economy Geopolitics
07 June 2023 East AsiaHong Kong Hong Kong – Arrests on Tiananmen Square massacre anniversary signal staging of future commemorations highly unlikely Cyber Extremism Geopolitics
07 June 2023 Western EuropeGermany Germany – Police raids against Last Generation activists will not reduce threat of disruptive protests over coming months Business Extremism
07 June 2023 South AsiaNepal Nepal – Government will balance relations with India and China over coming years to maximise economic gains Business Geopolitics
07 June 2023 Middle EastSaudi Arabia Saudi Arabia – Further cuts to oil production in July unlikely to significantly impact global oil prices in coming months Business Economy
07 June 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Kakhovka dam breach will stall Ukrainian counteroffensive and severely impact Ukrainian economy Geopolitics Public Health
05 June 2023 East AfricaEthiopia Ethiopia – Eritrean and Amhara forces’ continued deployment in Tigray unlikely to derail peace process in coming months Stability
02 June 2023 South AmericaBrazil Brazil – Petrobras likely to obtain licence to drill in Equatorial Margin within next two years Economy Extremism Stability
02 June 2023 West AfricaNigeria Nigeria – President Tinubu unlikely to reverse fuel subsidy removal in coming weeks Economy Stability
