29 March 2023 South AmericaParaguay Paraguay – Pre-election report: Opposition leader Efraín Alegre likely to win 30 April presidential election Business Geopolitics Stability
29 March 2023 OceaniaSoutheast AsiaNew Zealand New Zealand – Government will increase security responses to foreign interference and espionage over coming years Geopolitics Stability
28 March 2023 Southeast AsiaIndonesia Indonesia – Protests will escalate in coming weeks in response to ratification of president’s emergency decree Business Economy Stability
28 March 2023 Southern AfricaAngola Angola – Infighting within judiciary will delay anti-corruption efforts in coming months Business Stability
27 March 2023 East AfricaSomalia Somalia Deep Dive – Second phase of government-led offensive against al-Shabab will progress more slowly than first in coming months Stability Terrorism
24 March 2023 Western EuropeFinland Finland – Social Democratic Party will form next government following April elections, despite centre-right victory Business Cyber Geopolitics Stability
24 March 2023 South AmericaColombia Bolivia – President unlikely to adhere to IMF recommendations, maintaining subsidies despite falling reserves Economy Stability
24 March 2023 Southern AfricaMalawi Malawi – Inadequate government response to Tropical Storm Freddy will trigger protests in southern regions in coming months Stability
24 March 2023 Southeast AsiaThailand Thailand – Opposition will win plurality of vote in upcoming elections, but will be prevented from forming government by military Economy Stability
