Region: North Africa Sudan-Egypt tensions will persist but are unlikely to trigger major shift in Khartoum’s regional alliances for now Geopolitics
Region: East Africa US suspension of military aid to Somalia and start of AMISOM troop drawdown will boost al-Shabab’s ability to re-take territory Geopolitics
Region: Middle East UAE decision to join maritime coalition to protect Gulf shipping will aim to maintain degree of influence over US response to Iranian provocations Geopolitics
