27 March 2023 East AfricaSomalia Somalia Deep Dive – Second phase of government-led offensive against al-Shabab will progress more slowly than first in coming months Stability Terrorism
21 March 2023 South Asia South Asia – Security will be bolstered across region during Islamic holy month of Ramadan due to increased militant threat Stability Terrorism
09 March 2023 North AfricaBurkina Faso Burkina Faso – Imposition of new curfews unlikely to prevent proliferation of jihadist violence in coming months Extremism Terrorism
09 March 2023 Western EuropeNetherlands Netherlands – North Sea energy infrastructure will be increasingly at risk of Russian sabotage Geopolitics Terrorism
07 March 2023 South AsiaPakistan Pakistan – Security situation in Balochistan will deteriorate throughout 2023 due to concurrent operations by multiple threat actors Extremism Stability Terrorism
06 March 2023 North AfricaChad Chad – Wagner Group will increasingly look to expand into Chad in coming months Geopolitics Stability Terrorism
23 February 2023 West AfricaCote d’Ivoire Côte d’Ivoire – Reopening of borders will increase threat of jihadist violence in northern regions in coming months Stability Terrorism
22 February 2023 East AfricaKenya Kenya – Threat of al-Shabab attack in Nairobi will be elevated in coming months Stability Terrorism
22 February 2023 South AmericaPeru Peru – Deadly ambush highlights expansion of drug trafficking in VRAEM region Stability Terrorism
