30 March 2023 East AfricaEthiopia Ethiopia – Tigray peace deal will remain in place in coming months but outstanding terms will be difficult to implement Sanctions Stability
29 March 2023 Southeast AsiaMyanmar Myanmar – Junta leader’s Armed Forces Day speech indicates he will attempt to hold elections in late 2023 Geopolitics Sanctions Stability
22 March 2023 Eastern EuropeBulgaria Bulgaria – April elections will not resolve political deadlock Economy Sanctions Stability
22 March 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – President will crack down harder on opponents and consolidate his leadership in wake of ICC ruling Geopolitics Sanctions
15 March 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Moscow will extend grain deal after 60-day deadline Geopolitics Sanctions
01 March 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia Deep Dive – Moscow will continue to adapt to Western sanctions Geopolitics Sanctions
16 February 2023 Southeast AsiaMyanmar Myanmar – Oil majors’ departure will not deprive junta of funds in coming months Reputation Sanctions
13 February 2023 Former Soviet UnionAzerbaijan Azerbaijan – Baku will regularly be unable to fulfil EU gas export quotas, forcing it to rely on Russian gas for domestic use Oil and Gas Sanctions
27 January 2023 Middle EastIran Iran – Tehran will detain more dual and foreign nationals in response to Western sanctions and pressures Sanctions Stability
