Region: Former Soviet Union Belarus – Minsk will not deploy forces to Ukraine, but Russia will continue to exploit Belarus territory for its war effort Geopolitics Stability
Region: East Asia Taiwan – Threat of Chinese live fire exercises and air and naval incursions rises as US House speaker visit nears Economy Geopolitics
Region: North America Nicaragua – Cybersecurity cooperation agreement deepens ties with Russia and will increase threat of regional instability Cyber Geopolitics Stability
Region: North America Mexico – Semiconductor industry will expand as part of wider effort to reduce reliance and supply chain disruptions Business Geopolitics
Region: Southeast Asia Australia – Coal exports to China will be limited over coming months despite resumption of trade Economy Geopolitics
Region: Former Soviet Union Russia – Reshuffle of Russian military in Ukraine will bolster command structure and diminish role of PMCs Geopolitics Stability
Region: Middle East Syria and Turkey – Rapprochement between Ankara and Damascus will likely lead to joint operations against Kurds in northern Syria Geopolitics Stability
Region: Former Soviet Union Azerbaijan – Pro-Russian sentiment of Nagorno-Karabakh leader risks elevating regional tensions Geopolitics
