Region: Middle East Iran – Tehran will detain more dual and foreign nationals in response to Western sanctions and pressures Sanctions Stability
Region: Middle East Lebanon – Weakening currency due to economic and political crises will drive increasingly unruly protests in Beirut Economy Stability
Region: Middle East Israel – Protests will increase over coming weeks against government plan to weaken Supreme Court Stability
Region: Middle East Syria and Turkey – Rapprochement between Ankara and Damascus will likely lead to joint operations against Kurds in northern Syria Geopolitics Stability
Region: Western Europe Iran – Designation of IRGC as terrorist organisation by UK and EU will further complicate Western relations with Tehran Geopolitics Stability
Region: Middle East UAE – Strategic interests will trump concerns related to appointment of extreme right-wing ministers in new Israeli government Business Geopolitics
Region: Middle East Saudi Arabia – Kingdom’s untapped minerals wealth will help in global transition to clean energy Business Economy
Region: Middle East Turkey – Further populist public spending likely ahead of presidential elections Economy Stability
Region: Middle East Iraq – Corruption investigation likely to spur political jockeying and increase protest risk Stability