08 June 2023 Former Soviet UnionKyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan – Bishkek’s growing authoritarianism will hamper NGO progress and create openings for Russian influence Geopolitics Stability
07 June 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Kakhovka dam breach will stall Ukrainian counteroffensive and severely impact Ukrainian economy Geopolitics Public Health
02 June 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Degradation of nuclear plant safety mechanisms will give Russia pretext for withdrawal Geopolitics Stability
01 June 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Further drone strikes against major cities will be sporadic as Kyiv seeks to avoid jeopardising Western materiel support Geopolitics Stability
24 May 2023 Former Soviet UnionUkraine Ukraine – Deployment of F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine unlikely to take place before autumn at earliest Geopolitics
23 May 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Former Soviet Union – Russia will tolerate China’s growing economic cooperation with Central Asia in coming years to protect bilateral relations with Beijing Geopolitics Sanctions
19 May 2023 Former Soviet UnionBelarus Belarus – Lukashenka death will spur Moscow to codify control over Belarus, effectively creating a new Russian territory Geopolitics Stability
17 May 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Erdogan presidential victory will create opportunity for Moscow to further distance Ankara from West Economy Geopolitics
15 May 2023 Former Soviet UnionRussia Russia – Russian military’s ability to counter Ukrainian advances in upcoming counteroffensive will be largely undermined Geopolitics Stability
