Region: East Africa Kenya – Widespread unrest unlikely in coming months despite main opposition leader declaring current government illegitimate Stability
Region: East Africa DRC – ADF will continue targeting civilians and military in Nord Kivu and Ituri provinces in coming months Terrorism
Region: East Africa DRC – M23 forces will only partially withdraw from occupied areas in Nord Kivu in coming weeks Stability
Region: East Africa Kenya – Nairobi unlikely to default on external debt in 2023 but austerity measures will increase threat of unrest Business Economy Stability
Region: East Africa Ethiopia – Removal of Tigray People’s Liberation Front’s terrorist designation unlikely in coming months Geopolitics Stability
Region: East Africa Tanzania – Restrictions on opposition activity likely to ease in coming year after lifting of political rallies ban Business Stability
Region: East Africa Uganda – Planned nationalisation of power sector not indicative of worsening overall business environment Business Terrorism
Region: East Africa Ethiopia – Peace talks with Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) unlikely despite growing pressure from Oromo lawmakers Business Stability
Region: East Africa DRC – March 23 Movement (M23) unlikely to withdraw from areas under its control in Nord Kivu province in coming weeks Sanctions Stability
