Region: North Africa Burkina Faso – Withdrawal of French troops will not significantly worsen security environment in coming months Stability Terrorism
Region: Western Europe France – Government presses on with pension reforms, spurring further disruptive protests Business Stability
Region: Middle East Iran – Tehran will detain more dual and foreign nationals in response to Western sanctions and pressures Sanctions Stability
Region: East Africa Kenya – Widespread unrest unlikely in coming months despite main opposition leader declaring current government illegitimate Stability
Region: Middle East Lebanon – Weakening currency due to economic and political crises will drive increasingly unruly protests in Beirut Economy Stability
Region: Former Soviet Union Belarus – Minsk will not deploy forces to Ukraine, but Russia will continue to exploit Belarus territory for its war effort Geopolitics Stability
Region: Eastern Europe Czech Republic – Demonstrations will take place in Prague over coming days ahead of second round of presidential elections Business Cyber Stability