Region: Former Soviet Union FULL REPORT: Belarus – Minsk will not deploy forces to Ukraine, but Russia will continue to exploit Belarus territory for its war effort Geopolitics Stability
Region: Southeast Asia FULL REPORT: Thailand – Tempo of separatist attacks will increase in coming year Extremism Stability Terrorism
Region: Middle East FULL REPORT: Syria and Turkey – Rapprochement between Ankara and Damascus will likely lead to joint operations against Kurds in northern Syria Geopolitics Stability
Region: South America FULL REPORT: Bolivia – Governor’s arrest will prolong demonstrations in Santa Cruz Economy Stability
Region: Middle East FULL REPORT: UAE – Strategic interests will trump concerns related to appointment of extreme right-wing ministers in new Israeli government Business Geopolitics
Region: East Asia FULL REPORT: Japan – Revision of three key defence documents will accelerate militarisation of region Economy Geopolitics
Region: Former Soviet Union FULL REPORT: Russia – Social media users will continue to hinder Russian propaganda efforts Cyber Geopolitics
Region: South Asia FULL REPORT: India – Terrorism threat will remain low in Jammu region in coming months despite rare attack Extremism Stability